Thomas Kemenes van Uden
PhD Project Title: Ecological Dynamics of Coral Reef Degradation: Linking Microbial Shifts, Nutrient Enrichment, and Climate Stress Across Scales.
Supervisory Team: Dr. Lisa Becking, Dr. Erik Meesters, and Dr. Matthijs van der Geest.
PhD Project Description: The focus of this PhD is the ecological dynamics of degrading reefs, linking eutrophication and urbanization to benthic and microbial changes. The first chapter investigates the changes to prokaryotic communities in reef sediments and water in relation to eutrophication. Specifically whether higher nitrogen and phosphorus loads drive community changes in different microbial compartments of the reef, and whether this could be used as an early-warning indicator of reef degradation.
The second chapter similarly investigates the changes in bacteria dominating benthic cyanobacterial mats (BCMs) in response to nitrogen and phosphorus enrichment. This chapter aims to better understand the ecology of change in reefs that have seen increasing cover of BCMs over the last decades. It asks whether we can understand the extent to which nutrient enrichment drives ecological dynamics that may favour the proliferation of BCMs over reefs. The third chapter asks whether the steady decline in coral cover observed on permanent quadrats in Curacao and Bonaire can be well explained by climate change in the form of sea surface temperature rises and heat waves, and by population trends as a proxy for local stress on the islands. In the coral reef management literature there is a strong view that we must decrease local stressors to increase reef resilience so that corals can cope better with climate change. This chapter uses the longest coral time-series in the world to characterize how local and global stressors have changed over time and how changes to the reef composition associate to them. The fourth chapter also investigates these stressors at a narrower temporal scale but with higher spatial resolution, at the 115 sites monitored on Bonaire.
The data from these surveys includes also mobile reef organisms (e.g. herbivorous fish, carnivorous fish, urchins) and there is a greater range of available data regarding anthropogenic stressors over the shorter time-scale of this dataset (urbanization, remote sensing datasets). This chapter aims to characterize and examine local vs. climate change stressors with higher spatial detail taking into account a more comprehensive reef community beyond benthic composition. The final chapter uses heuristic modelling to examine how feedback in reef communities affect their response to projected warming scenarios under different levels of local stress, specifically of nutrient pollution given low grazing activity. This modelling approach is useful in outlining future management strategies by drawing together the results of the reef dynamics to local stress outlined in the rest of the thesis.
